- Accounting register theory
- The stock-flow ratio and scarcity
- The superiority of gold and silver
- Unit of account and credit
Accounting register theory
This section explores proposals for unifying two monetary theories: the emergence of money as debt (credit theory) and the emergence of money as a commodity (Mengerian theory). We will examine the unification proposal presented by Lyn Alden in her book, "Broken Money".
Excerpt from Broken Money by Lyn Alden:
Fundamentally, money is an accounting register. Commodity-money is a register governed by nature. Bank money is a ledger governed by nation-states. Open-source money is a ledger governed by its users.
Here, Alden refers to Bitcoin.
The stock-flow ratio and scarcity
Some rare chemical elements, such as rhodium, are rarer than gold, but have low stock-flow ratios because they are consumed by industry as quickly as they are mined. A rhodium coin or ingot can be purchased as a specialized collectible or store of value, but is not suitable as a socially accepted currency, and so does not emerge naturally as money.
Saifedean Ammous discusses this concept in "The Bitcoin Standard". The stock-to-flow ratio compares the existing stock of a commodity to its annual production (flow). This metric can be counter-intuitive; scarcity is less about total quantity and more about the difficulty of significantly increasing the existing stock. A high stock-to-flow ratio indicates that new production is minimal compared to existing reserves, making the commodity scarce. For example, gold has a large accumulated stock because it is hoarded as a store of value, while its annual production (flow) from mining is only about 1-3% of that stock. In contrast, rhodium may be rarer than gold in terms of total annual production, but it is consumed by industry at a similar rate. This means its stock remains low, and a small increase in new supply could double the existing stock. With gold, at its current rate of production, it would take over 50 years to double the existing stock. In contrast, most consumable commodities have a small existing stock that can be doubled quickly by ramping up production.
"Gold has maintained a stock-to-flow ratio of between 25x and 100x throughout modern history, usually around 50x or more, briefly never falling below 16x, even during the Gold Rush of the mid-19th century. "
A ratio of 25x implies it would take 25 years to double the stock at the current flow rate; a 100x ratio implies 100 years. As Ammous notes, even a doubling of gold's annual production would not significantly impact its price because the increase would still be small relative to the massive existing stock.
"Silver generally has a stock-flow ratio of 10x or more, which is still relatively high.
Most other commodities have a stock-flow ratio of less than 1 or 2. Even the rarest elements, such as platinum and rhodium, have relatively low stock-flow ratios due to their rapid industrial consumption."
The superiority of gold and silver
"In short, whenever a commodity currency has found itself in competition with gold and silver, the latter has always come out on top in the end. Other commodities might remain currencies for limited periods or in specific regions, but gold and silver have always proved their ability to become globally competitive currencies and to dominate the competition. This is because when civilizations met, holders of gold and silver always had the technological capacity to devalue other forms of currency, while holders of shells, pearls, livestock, salt, cloth or inferior metals could never devalue gold or silver."
This thesis, as described in "The Bitcoin Standard" by Saifedean Ammous, is illustrated by the case of the African tribes who used glass beads as currency. When Venetian merchants arrived with large quantities of industrially produced glass beads, their technological capacity to manufacture the currency allowed them to devalue it. This destabilized the local monetary systems, enabling the merchants to effectively plunder their resources.
Unit of account and credit
"Historically, even when credit was used directly as an instrument of exchange, it was usually denominated in units of monetary commodities naturally chosen for their properties."
This is a crucial point. Even if a Mesopotamian temple manages credit systems, the unit of account was the shekel. There is no definitive proof that the temple officially established the shekel; it may have emerged naturally to meet the trade needs of merchants with neighboring peoples. Evidence for this includes a merchant from Kanesh (as mentioned in Part 1) who imported precious metals not for their commodity value but as a store of value. The key question is whether the choice of the silver shekel was made by merchants or by the temple. However, a strong argument suggests the choice likely originated with the merchants.
"Thus, the unification of the two theories can be described as an "accounting theory of money" ("ledger theory of money") since it describes the fundamental logic common to both theories. Both flexible social credit and collectible proto-currencies date back to the dawn of humanity. In both cases, human groups of various sizes keep an accounting ledger among themselves to avoid having to satisfy the double coincidence of wants, reduce friction in exchanges, and serve as a form of liquid savings. The essential difference lies in the authority entrusted with keeping the register."
The authority governing the register varies. With commodity-money like gold, for example, nature manages scarcity by making mining difficult, which limits supply. The register is decentralized, with possession of the physical coin serving as proof of ownership. For credit money, scarcity is managed by the availability of credit itself. For fiat currency, a central authority manages scarcity by deciding whether to increase the money supply. In the case of physical token money (e.g., banknotes), the register is managed by the token holder; possession of the token proves ownership. Conversely, scriptural money relies on a centralized register managed by an institution, such as a bank, which records ownership.